Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Chemnitzer win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
