This is a really difficult match to call, as Chester demonstrated in their clash earlier this month that they can compete with York. The home side can call upon the greater quality, though, and we are expecting the National League side to shade a close match on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for York City.

Result
York City	Draw	Chester FC
38.79% ( -1.12)	25.71% ( -0.15)	35.5% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

0.82)

48.95% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

0.74)

71.03% (

-0.75)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0.22)

24.8% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

-0.31)

59.38% (

0.3)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

1.16)

26.64% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12% (

1.51)

61.87% (

-1.52)

Score Analysis

York City 38.79%

Chester FC 35.5%

Draw 25.7%

York City	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.79%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.5%