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FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
Barnsley

Horsham
0 - 3
Barnsley


Barker (41'), Tuck (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cadden (3'), McAtee (10', 27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Horsham and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barnsley 3-3 Horsham
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Horsham 1-3 Barnsley

Although Barnsley may have slipped up to draw the initial cup meeting, we do not see history repeating itself, which is why we believe that the EFL side will utilise their extra-quality to claim an away win and secure their place in the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 6.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Horsham win it was 2-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
HorshamDrawBarnsley
6.39% (-0.0029999999999992 -0) 11.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 82.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.06% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.06% (0.012 0.01)26.93% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.34% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (0.004999999999999 0)81.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.15%4.84% (-0.0040999999999993 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.5% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Horsham 6.39%
    Barnsley 82.18%
    Draw 11.42%
HorshamDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 6.39%
1-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.04%
0-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.42%
0-3 @ 10.38%
0-2 @ 10.28%
1-3 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-5 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-6 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-6 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-7 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 82.18%

How you voted: Horsham vs Barnsley

Horsham
13.0%
Draw
13.0%
Barnsley
73.9%
46
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
3-3
Horsham
Watters (14'), Jalo (45+1'), Durand de Gevigney (64')
Dodgson (35'), McCart (54')
Fenelon (22'), Hammond (38' pen.), Richards (81')
Hester-Cook (25')
rhs 2.0
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