Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge City win with a probability of 53%. A win for Lakenheath had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Lakenheath win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge City would win this match.