Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Qarabag FK1 - 3Villarreal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Villarreal |
| 22.51% | 27.59% | 49.9% |
| Both teams to score 42.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.07% | 61.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% | 81.68% |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% | 43.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% | 25.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.22% | 59.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK 22.51%
Villarreal 49.89%
Draw 27.58%
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.04% 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.51% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 15.12% 0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-3 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 4% 0-4 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.09% Total : 49.89% |
Form Guide
