Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round

Aug 26, 2020 at 5pm UK

Qarabag FK
2 - 1
Sheriff

Matic (22' pen.), Madatov (63')
Ibrahimli (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castaneda (78')
Obilor (17')
Abang (37')

Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between Qarabag FK and Sheriff Tiraspol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sheriff had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Sheriff win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
54.12%	26.84%	19.04%

Both teams to score 39.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.4%

62.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.82%

82.18%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54%

23.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52%

57.48%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.19%

47.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.9%

83.09%

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 54.11%

Sheriff Tiraspol 19.04%

Draw 26.83%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 16.26% 2-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.2% 4-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.33% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.04%