Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
We said: PAOK 2-1 Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock will travel to Greece in buoyant mood and Bradley will have faith in his side claiming at least a share of the spoils on Thursday. However, they may find it difficult to keep PAOK quiet in front of goal - they have already scored 12 goals in five competitive games this term - and with that in mind, we can see the hosts coming out on top.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 56.54% . A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%) . The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (5.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result PAOK Draw Shamrock Rovers 56.54% ( -0.03) 21.61% ( -0) 21.85% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0.04)
60.88% ( 0.03) 39.12% ( -0.04)
38.55% ( 0.03) 61.44% ( -0.04)
86.28% 13.71% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.03% ( 0.01) 40.96% ( -0.01)
68.64% ( 0.04) 31.35% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.28% ( 0.05) 67.72% ( -0.05)
PAOK 56.54%
Shamrock Rovers 21.85%
Draw 21.61%
PAOK Draw Shamrock Rovers 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.54% 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.61% 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.85%
How you voted: PAOK vs Shamrock
101
rhs 2.0
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