Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje1 - 0Shamrock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NS Mura 1-0 Celje
Saturday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Saturday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Waterford 1-2 Shamrock
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Celje 1-1 Shamrock Rovers
With both teams keen to remain in the tie heading into next week's second leg, a tight affair could be played out on Thursday. Celje have suffered a dip in form in recent weeks, but they may do just enough to claim a share of the spoils against a Shamrock Rovers outfit who have won just two of their last 10 away games in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
51.42% ( -0.12) | 24.01% ( -0) | 24.56% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
