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Champions League
Shamrock Rovers
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
2 - 1
Vikingur

Kenny (8', 20')
Clarke (38'), Lopes (56'), Byrne (56'), Hoare (59'), Cleary (63'), Watts (70')
Byrne (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hansen (60')
Agnarsson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Vikingur Reykjavik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Vikingur 0-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 9 at 7.45pm in Champions League

Vikingur Reykjavik

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Vikingur 0-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 9 at 7.45pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Derry401.60Hoban
2Waterford331.38Amond
3Shamrock311.35Kenny
4Shelbourne281.17Jarvis
5Sligo271.13Chapman
6Drogheda241.00Pierrot
7St Patrick's240.96Keating
8Bohemians221.00Akintunde
9Galway United190.83Walsh
10Dundalk170.71Gullan

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Vikingur Reykjavik

 While forced to defend for the majority of the 90 last week, Rovers carved out the best chances in the match and should probably have been a goal up had they finished their clear chance late on. Nevertheless, back on their home patch, the Hoops are likely to play more attacking football this week, and we feel they will manage to find the target while shutting the opponents out at the other end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawVikingur Reykjavik
39.22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 24.08% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 36.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (0.13500000000001 0.14)41.32% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (0.138 0.14)63.71% (-0.139 -0.14)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)21.19% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (0.080999999999996 0.08)54.08% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.081000000000003 0.08)22.45% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.122 0.12)56% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 39.22%
    Vikingur Reykjavik 36.7%
    Draw 24.07%
Shamrock RoversDrawVikingur Reykjavik
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.7%

How you voted: Shamrock vs Vikingur

Shamrock Rovers
55.1%
Draw
23.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik
21.7%
69
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Vikingur
0-0
Shamrock
Fridleifur Gunnarsson (55')
Nugent (51'), Pohls (85'), Hoare (90+7')
Nugent (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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