We said: Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Shamrock Rovers
Fresh off the back of a thrilling cup victory, Vikingur will head into Tuesday's clash with confidence as they look to kick off their qualifying campaign on a high.
While Shamrock Rovers will be looking to pick up where they left off against Dundalk, they have struggled for results on the road, where they have lost three of their last four games. We predict a cagey affair at the Vikingsvollur Stadium, with the home side coming away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Reykjavik win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.