Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Olympiacos5 - 2Backa Topola
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Volos 2-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Greek Superleague
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Backa Topola 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Olympiacos 2-0 Backa Topola
Having pushed West Ham in their most recent European fixture, Backa Topola will feel that they are capable of upsetting the odds in Greece. Nevertheless, Olympiacos need a response of their own, and we are backing Martinez's side to churn out a professional win on home territory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Backa Topola |
74.08% ( 0.05) | 15.74% ( -0.01) | 10.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.05) | 35.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.05) | 57.16% ( 0.06) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.9% ( 0) | 8.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.55% ( -0) | 28.45% ( 0.01) |
| Backa Topola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.09) | 43.77% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.07% ( -0.08) | 79.93% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Olympiacos 74.07%
Backa Topola 10.19%
Draw 15.74%
| Olympiacos | Draw | Backa Topola |
| 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 74.07% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.19% |
How you voted: Olympiacos vs Backa Topola
Olympiacos
83.3%Draw
8.3%Backa Topola
8.3%12
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Backa Topola
2-2
Olympiacos
Form Guide
