Granada

2 - 0

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.