Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
