Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.