Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 1
Braga

(Braga win 3-1 on aggregate)

Disasi (90')
Lucas (40'), Golovin (62'), Maripan (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ruiz (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62
5	Gil Vicente	33	10	51

We said: Monaco 1-1 Braga (Braga to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Monaco have struggled for goals of late, scoring in only one of their last three games, and they were frustrated in last week's first leg. Another challenging affair could be on the cards for the hosts on Thursday. Braga are expected to take a more cautious approach to the second leg and even if their French counterparts do breach their backline, they should have enough resilience in their side to hold on for victory on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Braga
50.38%	24.09%	25.53%

Both teams to score 55.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56%

46.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28%

68.72%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33%

49.66%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Score Analysis

Monaco 50.38%

Braga 25.53%

Draw 24.08%

Monaco	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.53%