UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Riga FC
0 - 3
FC Twente

(FC Twente win 5-0 on aggregate)

Musah (30'), Stipic (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rots (57'), Besselink (90'), Unuvar (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and FC Twente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

FC Twente

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Almere City 1-4 FC Twente
Sunday, August 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	FC Twente
25.99% ( -0.72)	21.59% ( -0.57)	52.41% ( 1.28)

Both teams to score 64.52% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.57% (

2.14)

34.43% (

-2.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.65% (

2.38)

56.35% (

-2.38)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

0.63)

25.49% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

0.85)

60.34% (

-0.86)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.6% (

1.16)

13.4% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.66% (

2.29)

40.33% (

-2.29)

Score Analysis

Riga FC 25.99%

FC Twente 52.41%

Draw 21.59%

Riga FC	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.99%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.2) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.15) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.41%