UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Riga FC
3 - 1
Kecskemeti TE

(Riga FC win 4-3 on aggregate)

Muzinga (62'), Mankenda (90+5'), Ngom (120+2')
Bosancic (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Levente Vago (7')
Kiss (41'), Majer (53'), Lyinbor (66'), Varga (73'), Szalai (120+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Kecskemeti TE.

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Kecskemeti TE

All competitions

Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Riga FC
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Kecskemeti TE win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
71.91% ( -0.29)	18.59% ( 0.16)	9.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 39.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

-0.29)

50.25% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.26)

72.21% (

0.26)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.17)

12.64% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.21% (

-0.35)

38.79% (

0.35)

Kecskemeti TE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.88% (

0.09)

55.12% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.04% (

0.05)

87.95% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Riga FC 71.9%

Kecskemeti TE 9.5%

Draw 18.59%

Riga FC	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
2-0 @ 14.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 71.9%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.59%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 9.5%