Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor0 - 3Fenerbahce
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and Fenerbahce.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maribor 2-1 Bravo
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Gaziantep
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Maribor had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Maribor win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
17.51% ( -0.8) | 21.63% ( 0.1) | 60.85% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( -1.74) | 45.59% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( -1.68) | 67.91% ( 1.68) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( -1.96) | 39.58% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.73% ( -1.86) | 76.27% ( 1.86) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.35) | 14.51% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.68) | 42.51% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
Maribor 17.51%
Fenerbahce 60.84%
Draw 21.63%
| Maribor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.51% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.53)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.84% |
How you voted: Maribor vs Fenerbahce
Maribor
7.1%Draw
7.1%Fenerbahce
85.7%14
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
