Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki1 - 0Decic
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between HJK Helsinki and Decic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lahti 2-1 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Decic 0-0 Dinamo Batumi
Tuesday, July 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, July 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Decic had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Decic win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Decic |
64.89% ( 0.09) | 20.76% ( -0.01) | 14.34% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( -0.12) | 47.68% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -0.11) | 69.87% ( 0.11) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( -0.01) | 13.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.61% ( -0.02) | 41.38% ( 0.02) |
Decic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.97% ( -0.19) | 45.02% ( 0.18) |