Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki1 - 1Panevezys
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panevezys 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Panevezys 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
We said: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Panevezys (Panevezys win 4-2 on aggregate)
HJK will fancy their chances of winning on Tuesday, but it is very difficult to imagine them having enough to overturn the three-goal first-leg defeat. As a result, we are backing HJK to triumph, but Panevezys should head into the second qualifying round of the Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Panevezys |
59.45% ( -0.11) | 22.25% ( 0.04) | 18.31% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
