Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for CFR Cluj had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a CFR Cluj win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.