UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Astana Arena

Astana
0 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

Kuat (38'), Jovancic (59'), Haroyan (74')
Jovancic (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vidovic (48'), Kaneko (79')
Peric (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Astana and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

Last Game: Astana 0-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Osijek
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Astana had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Astana	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
34.64% ( -0.01)	25.72% ( -0.01)	39.64% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

0.03)

49.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

0.03)

71.2% (

-0.03)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

0.01)

27.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

0.01)

62.66% (

-0.02)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

0.03)

24.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13% (

0.04)

58.87% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Astana 34.64%

Dinamo Zagreb 39.64%

Draw 25.71%

Astana	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.64%