UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)

Alashkert
1 - 1
Arsenal Tivat

(Alashkert FC win 7-2 on aggregate)

Ustinov (66')
Carrillo (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Montenegro (23')
Maras (10'), Celebic (35'), Mirkovic (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Arsenal Tivat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alashkert FC

Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 4-1 Alashkert
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Alashkert FC	Draw	Arsenal Tivat
71.16% ( 0.01)	19.31% ( -0.01)	9.52% ( 0)

Both teams to score 37.32% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.03% (

0.03)

52.97% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.43% (

0.02)

74.57% (

-0.02)

Alashkert FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

0.01)

13.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.1% (

0.02)

40.9% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Tivat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.23% (

0.02)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.09% (

0.01)

88.91% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Alashkert FC 71.14%

Arsenal Tivat 9.52%

Draw 19.31%

Alashkert FC	Draw	Arsenal Tivat
1-0 @ 15.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 15.36% 3-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.14%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.31%	0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.4% Total : 9.52%