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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
37.29% ( -0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.01) | 38.92% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.29% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( 0.07) | 39.8% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( 0.07) | 62.16% ( -0.07) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( 0.01) | 21.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( 0.02) | 54.5% ( -0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0.05) | 20.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( 0.09) | 53.27% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
7 | NECNijmegen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
10 | FC Twente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
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