Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II2 - 3Utrecht
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Willem II
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
43
We said: Willem II 0-2 FC Utrecht
Having made an important return to winning ways last time out, FC Utrecht should outclass a Willem II side who are quickly falling towards the Eredivisie's drop zone in the midst of a poor run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
23.02% ( 0.16) | 22.15% ( -0.18) | 54.83% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( 1.01) | 40.24% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( 1.04) | 62.61% ( -1.03) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.7) | 30.96% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.81) | 67.26% ( -0.81) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( 0.36) | 14.63% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.68) | 42.76% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 23.02%
FC Utrecht 54.83%
Draw 22.14%
| Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.83% |
How you voted: Willem II vs Utrecht
Willem II
11.1%Draw
11.1%FC Utrecht
77.8%9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Utrecht
3-2
Willem II
Behounek (11' og.), Ohio (37' pen.), Thor Sigurgeirsson (53' og.)
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Oct 31, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Utrecht
5-1
Willem II
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Utrecht
3-2
Willem II
Feb 19, 2021 7pm
