Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, February 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
for
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie
for
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Willem II
Sparta have gotten the better of this fixture more often than not in recent years and will be confident of coming out on top once again. We can see the home side emerging victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
57.97% ( 0.23) | 22.23% ( -0.09) | 19.8% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( 0.18) | 44.71% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( 0.17) | 67.07% ( -0.17) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( 0.14) | 15.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.28% ( 0.26) | 43.71% ( -0.26) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.05) | 36.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.05) | 73.31% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.8% |
