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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
27.08% ( -2.98) | 24.13% ( -0.22) | 48.79% ( 3.2) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% ( -0.86) | 45.43% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.23% ( -0.83) | 67.76% ( 0.82) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -2.56) | 30.48% ( 2.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% ( -3.15) | 66.7% ( 3.15) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% ( 0.97) | 18.71% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.93% ( 1.61) | 50.07% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.08% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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