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Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Groningen

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
Groningen

Oosting (5', 15'), Sow (86')
Touba (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
El Messaoudi (33')
Da Cruz (72'), Itakura (90')

Preview: RKC Waalwijk vs. Groningen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides in desperate need of a win, albeit for very different reasons, clash at the Mandemakers Stadion on Saturday when RKC Waalwijk host Groningen.

The visitors were victorious in December's reverse fixture, so a win here would complete a league double over their hosts.


Match preview

Fred Grim, now in charge of RKC Waalwijk, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Waalwijk lost for the second game running as they succumbed to a 2-0 defeat versus Sparta Rotterdam at the Het Kasteel on Saturday.

The match was level going into half time, but second-half goals from Tom Beugelsdijk and Bryan Smeets condemned RKC to their 13th league loss this term.

Fred Grim's men are 14th in the Eredivisie table, two points away from the relegation zone, and in need of an upturn in form.

Their inefficiency in front of goal has been a major Achilles heel as they have scored more goals than only ADO Den Haag in the entire division.

Saturday's hosts have not won any of the last seven meetings between the sides, so they will be expecting a tough encounter.

Groningen were held to a disappointing 1-1 stalemate by 18th-placed Emmen at the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion on Saturday.

Alessio Da Cruz scored on the hour mark to cancel out Glenn Bijl's first-half strike, ensuring a share of the spoils as a result.

Trots van het Noorden remain in sixth place, but they are now eight points off the top four with only eight matches left to play.

While the away side have dominated this fixture of late, it is worth noting that they have only won on the road once since the turn of the year.

RKC Waalwijk Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Groningen Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D


Team News

For the third game running, Groningen will be without their leading goalscorer as Jorgen Strand Larsen continues to battle with a knock.

On a brighter note, Ahmed El Messaoudi has returned to action just in time to fill the void left by his Norwegian teammate in attack.

Azor Matusiwa is ruled out of the clash with a damaged knee which he sustained in his side's loss to Vitesse, but he is not far off a return to action.

Waalwijk's Morad El Haddouti is unfit to play due to an ankle injury which he picked up in November when he was beginning to make his mark.

Finn Stokkers has scored the most league goals for the hosts this term, despite having not found the back of the net since the turn of the year.

RKC Waalwijk possible starting lineup:
Lamprou; Quasten, Touba, Meulensteen, Bakari; Azhil, Van Der Venne, Tahiri; Oosting, Stokkers, Daneels

Groningen possible starting lineup:
Padt; Van Hintum, Itakura, Te Wierik, Dankerlui; Schreck, Van Kaam; Suslov, El Hankouri, Da Cruz; Joosten


SM words green background

We say: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Groningen

The teams come into the game off the back of largely unconvincing performances in recent matches, and we expect that trend to continue with a share of the spoils in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen

RKC Waalwijk
29.2%
Draw
37.5%
Groningen
33.3%
24
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Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019
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