Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Lillestrom.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tromso 0-3 Sarpsborg
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
44.85% ( -1.39) | 22.71% ( 0.32) | 32.44% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
