Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.