Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.