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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Portsmouth

Millwall
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Malone (21'), Saville (27')
Cooper (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)

The Match

Match Report

George Saville on target as Millwall battle back to beat Portsmouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawPortsmouth
36.36%26.99%36.65%
Both teams to score 50.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69%54.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3%75.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69%64.31%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.35%
    Portsmouth 36.64%
    Draw 26.98%
MillwallDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Portsmouth

Millwall
68.2%
Draw
11.4%
Portsmouth
20.5%
44
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2012 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2011 1pm
Dec 26, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Millwall
Nugent (73')
Mokoena (2'), Rocha (65')
Trotter (26')
Trotter (43'), Dunne (71'), Barron (80')
Oct 19, 2010 3pm
Millwall
0-1
Portsmouth

Mkandawire (32'), Hackett (77'), Carter (90')
Lawrence (78' pen.)
Dickinson (5'), Kitson (85')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool119112161528
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
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