Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.