Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
49.42% ( -1.2)	21.37% ( 0.37)	29.21% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 68.26% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.27% (

-1.26)

30.73% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94% (

-1.51)

52.06% (

1.51)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.97% (

-0.81)

13.03% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.42% (

-1.67)

39.57% (

1.66)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

-0.16)

21.51% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43% (

-0.25)

54.57% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 49.42%

Jong FC Utrecht 29.21%

Draw 21.37%

Jong PSV	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.42%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.37%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.21%