Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.