Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
