Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.