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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven
5 - 1
Jong Ajax

Amevor (22'), Rottier (35'), van Doorm (64'), Dahlhaus (76'), Sanoh (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlynsson (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
49.69% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.22% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.093999999999994 0.09)40.56% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.139 0.14)27.84% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.175 0.18)63.44% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Eindhoven 49.69%
    Jong Ajax 27.22%
    Draw 23.08%
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax

FC Eindhoven
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Banel (86')
Warmerdam (58')
Rottier (47')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-2
FC Eindhoven
Danilo (37' pen.), Hansen (82')
Hansen (53'), Llansana (66')
Sleegers (12'), Van der Sande (46')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
1-3
Jong Ajax
Racz (90+3')
Sleegers (52'), Amevor (90+5')
Amevor (90+5')
Jensen (38', 90+1'), Taylor (41')
Martha (58'), Baas (60')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
3-0
Jong Ajax
Pozo (56'), Peijnenburg (63'), Donkor (90')
Seedorf (5'), Peijnenburg (76'), van Kleef (87')

Rasmussen (18')
Dec 7, 2020 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Rensch (34')
Regeer (45')
Van Kleef (90' pen.)
Peijnenburg (41'), van Son (60'), De Keersmaecker (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam20124444251940
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior20116339201939
3Dordrecht2010643729836
4Den BoschDen Bosch2096534221233
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap209564132932
6Cambuur2010282819932
7EmmenEmmen209563224832
8ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag208753325831
9Helmond SportHelmond209472930-131
10Roda JC198652524130
11TelstarTelstar206863129226
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven207582833-526
13MVV MaastrichtMVV205873032-223
14Jong AZJong AZ2064103338-522
15TOP OssOss205781633-1722
16Jong PSVJong PSV2063113339-621
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2044121836-1816
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2027111939-2013
20Vitesse204792845-17-8


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