Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
28.8% ( -0.09)	22.05% ( 0.06)	49.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.36% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.62% (

-0.38)

34.37% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.71% (

-0.42)

56.29% (

0.42)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

-0.25)

23.61% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31% (

-0.36)

57.69% (

0.36)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57% (

-0.13)

14.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.63% (

-0.25)

42.36% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 28.8%

PEC Zwolle 49.15%

Draw 22.05%

Jong Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.8%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.15%