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De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gooijer (36')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 2-2 De Graafschap
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
50.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 22.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 26.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.26% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.06% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (-0.058 -0.06)61.38% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)44.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)27.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)62.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 50.47%
    Jong Ajax 26.83%
    Draw 22.7%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax

De Graafschap
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jong Ajax
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Nov 26, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
1-3
Jong Ajax
Konings (43')
Fortes (48'), Brittijn (53')
Unuvar (24'), Rasmussen (88'), Martha (90+1')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
De Graafschap
Taylor (23')
Mendez (90+11')
Van Huizen (64')
van Huizen (90+1')
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
De Graafschap
2-2
Jong Ajax
Douglas (12' og.), Seuntjens (27')
van Huizen (87'), van Mieghem (90')
Verbeek (31')
Martha (16'), Hansen (57')
Hlynsson (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior15102335181732
2De GraafschapDe Graafschap1585237221529
3FC VolendamVolendam1592436231329
4EmmenEmmen158342617927
5Helmond SportHelmond158342521427
6Den BoschDen Bosch157442617925
7Cambuur158162112925
8Dordrecht157442520525
9Roda JC156541820-223
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag155732620622
11TelstarTelstar165742319422
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven165471927-819
13Jong AZJong AZ155372730-318
14MVV MaastrichtMVV163762025-516
15TOP OssOss154471128-1716
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax153661717015
17Jong PSVJong PSV154292229-714
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1632111331-1811
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht151591431-178
20Vitesse152671832-146


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