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De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gooijer (36')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 2-2 De Graafschap
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
50.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 22.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 26.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.26% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.06% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (-0.058 -0.06)61.38% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)44.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)27.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)62.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 50.47%
    Jong Ajax 26.83%
    Draw 22.7%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax

De Graafschap
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jong Ajax
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Nov 26, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
1-3
Jong Ajax
Konings (43')
Fortes (48'), Brittijn (53')
Unuvar (24'), Rasmussen (88'), Martha (90+1')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
De Graafschap
Taylor (23')
Mendez (90+11')
Van Huizen (64')
van Huizen (90+1')
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
De Graafschap
2-2
Jong Ajax
Douglas (12' og.), Seuntjens (27')
van Huizen (87'), van Mieghem (90')
Verbeek (31')
Martha (16'), Hansen (57')
Hlynsson (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior852123111217
2Den BoschDen Bosch85211541117
3Helmond SportHelmond7421116514
4FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven8332106412
5TelstarTelstar8332129312
6Jong PSVJong PSV7322139411
7De GraafschapDe Graafschap73221714311
8Jong AZJong AZ83231516-111
9FC VolendamVolendam83141715210
10Roda JC8242712-510
11Jong AjaxJong Ajax723210829
12Dordrecht723289-19
13EmmenEmmen7223810-28
14ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag8152814-68
15VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo8224916-78
16TOP OssOss8224615-98
17Cambuur72145507
18MVV MaastrichtMVV8143813-57
19Vitesse7241111014
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht8035718-113


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