Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.