Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Sarmiento3 - 4Union
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (38', 80'), Calderon (54'), Luna Diale (68')
Calderon (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (51'), Gonzalez (82')
Carlos Portillo (89')
Calderon (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (51'), Gonzalez (82')
Carlos Portillo (89')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Union.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Union had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Union |
| 38.45% | 30.33% | 31.22% |
| Both teams to score 40.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
