Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Platense had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.