Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo
0 - 2
Racing

Rojas (50'), Rios (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Martinez (41'), Martinez (45')
Martinez (57'), Conti (72'), Sosa (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Luqueno

Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Racing Club

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.38%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Racing Club
15.84% ( 0.09)	22.92% ( 0.29)	61.24% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 44.42% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.51% (

-0.93)

53.49% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

-0.79)

75.01% (

0.79)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.57% (

-0.44)

46.43% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.95% (

-0.34)

82.05% (

0.34)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

-0.46)

17.07% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75% (

-0.82)

47.25% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno 15.84%

Racing Club 61.24%

Draw 22.92%

Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.84%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 14.01% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.24%