Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.