Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.