Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Sportivo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Sportivo Luqueno.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 62% | 22.22% | 15.78% |
| Both teams to score 46.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% | 50.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% | 72.76% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% | 15.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.85% | 45.15% |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.07% | 44.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.12% | 80.88% |
| Score Analysis |
Defensa y Justicia 61.98%
Sportivo Luqueno 15.79%
Draw 22.21%
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 61.98% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.72% 1-2 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.79% |
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2020 10.15pm
