Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Racing1 - 1Corinthians
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Corinthians |
20.28% ( 0.52) | 25.62% ( -0.46) | 54.1% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.61% ( 1.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.6% ( 2.1) | 57.4% ( -2.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.79% ( 1.64) | 78.21% ( -1.64) |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.67% ( 1.81) | 43.33% ( -1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.43% ( 1.48) | 79.57% ( -1.48) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.84) | 21.28% ( -0.84) |