Penarol
3 - 0
River Plate

Kagelmacher (22'), Torres (80' pen.), Canobbio (89')
Piquerez (24'), Canobbio (82'), Schiappacasse (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dure (12'), Gimenez (19'), Sosa (47'), Acosta (76'), Navarro (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	River Plate
53.21%	22.6%	24.19%

Both teams to score 58.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.98%

41.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.59%

63.41%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55%

15.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.7%

44.29%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59%

30.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39%

66.61%

Score Analysis

Penarol 53.21%

River Plate 24.19%

Draw 22.6%

Penarol	Draw	River Plate
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.07% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.21%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.19%