Metropolitanos
4 - 0
Estudiantes

(Metropolitanos win 6-0 on aggregate)

Flores (34'), Ortiz (88'), Guaramato (90' og.), Cova (90+2')
Larotonda (26'), Ferro (64'), Annese (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Penilla (37'), Pena (52'), Araque (77')
Araque (22'), Vargas (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Metropolitanos and Estudiantes Merida.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Estudiantes Merida

Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
44.89%	23.31%	31.79%

Both teams to score 62.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.14%

38.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.82%

61.17%

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31%

17.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.67%

48.33%

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98%

24.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72%

58.27%

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 44.89%

Estudiantes Merida 31.79%

Draw 23.31%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.9% Total : 44.89%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.79%