Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 28, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Lanus3 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Lanus and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 40.74% | 28.05% | 31.21% |
| Both teams to score 46.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
